News » Election of President Biden does not signal shift in US trade policy – the EU should take note.
Election of President Biden does not signal shift in US trade policy – the EU should take note.
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On 20 January 2021, President Biden finally took office as the 46th President of the United States. Warm words naturally followed from EU and world leaders, congratulating the new President on his elevation to the office.
President Biden's first acts in office were to reverse some elements of former President Trump's legacy. These included executive orders to rejoin the Paris Climate Change Accord, reinforced measures against COVID-19, social measures, suspending funding for Trump's border wall and rescinding permits for the building of the Keystone XL pipeline through a national park.
President Biden has long been a supporter of trade liberalisation: as Vice President he championed the TPP, and as a Senator he voted for NAFTA and China’s entry into the WTO. However, noticeable by its absence is any change to the notably aggressive Trumpian trade policy in his initial package of measures.
At the time of writing, there has been no movement on supporting the appointment of a new WTO Director General or revitalising the paralysed WTO appellate body. Early signals suggest that Biden will be hawkish on China. There has been no move so far to undo the damaging Section US 232 tariffs that, at least for the steel industry, were the most notable and damaging action of the Trump presidency.
Indeed, on his fourth day in office, President Biden signed an executive order further strengthening 'Buy American' regulations. For now, at least, it would seem that the motivation -if not the rhetoric – behind the 'America First' strategy of the previous administration has not (yet) changed.
This change of leadership but continuation of the existing approach to trade is one which EU leaders should take note of: while free trade is vital to economic growth, that freedom is contingent on fairness and fair play. The EU should defend its interests: other regions are willing to take advantage of Europe’s promotion of ‘free’ trade without sharing its matching commitment to ‘fair’.
For steel, this means extending and reinforcing the steel safeguard, dealing with global steel excess capacity at its principal source, swiftly deploying the full extent of available remedial trade defences when there are grounds to do so, and taking pro-competitive steps to improve raw material flows – such as by avoiding scrap export leakage out of the EU – and ensuring that carbon leakage measures remain firmly in place to encourage other regions to follow Europe’s decarbonisation lead.
Brussels, 27 November 2024 – The European steel industry is at a critical juncture, facing irreversible decline unless the EU and Member States take immediate action to secure its future and green transition. Despite repeated warnings from the sector, the EU leadership and governments have yet to implement decisive measures to preserve manufacturing and allow green investments across Europe. Recent massive production cuts and closure announcements by European steelmakers show that time has run out. A robust European Steel Action Plan under an EU Clean Industrial Deal cannot wait or manufacturing value chains across Europe will simply vanish, warns the European Steel Association.
Brussels, 12 November 2024 - Ahead of Commissioner-Designate Séjourné’s hearing in the European Parliament, European steel social partners, supported by cross-party MEPs, jointly call for an EU Steel Action Plan to restore steel’s competitiveness, and save its green transition as well as steelworkers’ jobs across Europe.
Brussels, 29 October 2024 – The European steel market faces an increasingly challenging outlook, driven by a combination of low steel demand, a downturn in steel-using sectors, and persistently high import shares. These factors, combined with a weak overall economic forecast, rising geopolitical tensions, and higher energy costs for the EU compared to other major economic regions, are further deepening the downward trend observed in recent quarters. According to EUROFER’s latest Economic and Steel Market Outlook, apparent steel consumption will not recover in 2024 as previously projected (+1.4%) but is instead expected to experience another recession (-1.8%), although milder than in 2023 (-6%). Similarly, the outlook for steel-using sectors’ output has worsened for 2024 (-2.7%, down from -1.6%). Recovery projections for 2025 are also more modest for both apparent consumption (+3.8%) and steel-using sectors’ output (+1.6%). Steel imports share rose to 28% in the second quarter of 2024.