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Economic and steel market outlook 2019-2020, first quarter
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The EU28 steel market is estimated to have risen by 2.6% in 2018. The increase in steel demand predominantly benefitted third country suppliers owing to a rise of 12.3% in imports whereas domestic producers hardly gained from the growth in domestic steel demand given the meagre 0.6% increase in their deliveries to the EU28 market.
The sharp year-on-year increase in imports in the second half of the year clearly illustrates that in spite of the preliminary safeguard measures imposed by the EU Commission in July 2018 the EU market was besieged by imports. This shows that market access to other regions was blocked more effectively by protectionist measures in those places, thereby leading to a continued diversion of steel to the EU market.
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Brussels, 11 September 2025 – The lack of a solution for steel in the EU-U.S. trade negotiations, the ongoing unpredictability of the global geoeconomic situation, and persistently weak demand against an ever-growing global steel overcapacity are squeezing the European steel market. In 2025, the outlook points to stagnation, with potential recovery only in 2026 — conditional on improvements in the global economy and an easing of trade tensions. According to EUROFER’s latest Economic and Steel Market Outlook, another recession both in apparent steel consumption (-0.2%, revised upwards from -0.9%) and in steel-using sectors (-0.7%, revised downwards from -0.5%) is confirmed for 2025. Growth prospects are now delayed at least to 2026, with projections of a rebound for both apparent steel consumption (+3.1%) and steel-using sectors (+1.8%). However, steel imports continue to hold historically high market shares (25%) in 2025.
Third quarter 2025 report. Data up to, and including, first quarter 2025
Brussels, 10 September 2025 – Reacting to today’s State of the Union Address delivered by Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, Axel Eggert, Director General of the European Steel Association (EUROFER) said: